BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Fort Dodge

Class: 4A Class Rank: 21 Conference: CIMLI Record: (18-30-0) Overall: (43-51-0) Overall Strength =   65.09

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Home    L    59.53  20  22   4A  23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East        -5.44      3.44                      
  2 09/07/2001 Away    W    55.13  30   6   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North       -9.84     33.84                      
  3 09/15/2001 Home    W    53.29  12   3   4A  40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West       -11.68     20.68                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W    43.26  33  21   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -21.71     33.71                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    L    43.87  14  44   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -21.10     -8.90                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    L *  62.31   7  17   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   -2.66     -7.34                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    L *  39.53  20  42   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City            -25.44      3.44                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    L *  71.40  14  33   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley              6.42    -25.42                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W *  66.46  28  27 2 4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown            1.49     -0.49                      
 10 09/06/2002 Away    L    23.34   8  32   4A  40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West       -41.63     17.63                      
 11 09/13/2002 Home    W    53.07  25   0   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North      -11.90     36.90                      
 12 09/20/2002 Away    W    89.18  35   7   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     24.21      3.79                      
 13 09/27/2002 Home    W    82.91  17  10   ZZ  36 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P   17.93    -10.93                      
 14 10/04/2002 Away    L *  60.52  13  21   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           -4.45     -3.55                      
 15 10/11/2002 Home    L    56.82   7  21   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 -8.15     -5.85                      
 16 10/18/2002 Away    L *  55.36  14  34   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   -9.61    -10.39                      
 17 10/25/2002 Home    L *  31.48  21  48   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City            -33.49      6.49                      
 18 11/01/2002 Away    L *  64.45   0  29   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             -0.52    -28.48                      
 19 09/05/2003 Home    W    75.29  37   6   4A  40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West        10.32     20.68                      
 20 09/12/2003 Away    W    81.13  56   6   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North       16.16     33.84                      
 21 09/19/2003 Home    W    70.13  21   9   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln      5.16      6.84                      
 22 09/26/2003 Away    L    57.96   0  21   ZZ  36 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P   -7.01    -13.99                      
 23 10/03/2003 Home    W *  71.46  20  14 1 4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown            6.49     -0.49                      
 24 10/10/2003 Away    L    37.87  13  49   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -27.10     -8.90                      
 25 10/17/2003 Home    L *  32.31   8  48   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                  -32.66     -7.34                      
 26 10/24/2003 Away    L *  52.53  20  29   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City            -12.44      3.44                      
 27 10/31/2003 Home    L *  77.40  14  27   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             12.42    -25.42                      
 28 09/03/2004 Home    L    56.19  14  20   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East        -8.78      2.78                      
 29 09/10/2004 Away    L    71.45  34  35 1 4A  13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston                6.48     -7.48                      
 30 09/17/2004 Home    W    75.72  30  13   4A  28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North       10.75      6.25                      
 31 09/24/2004 Away    W    89.04  55  14   4A  39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           24.07     16.93                      
 32 10/01/2004 Home    W *  72.48  27  13   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City              7.51      6.49                      
 33 10/08/2004 Away    L *  51.45   0  42   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -13.52    -28.48                      
 34 10/15/2004 Away    L *  61.52  14  21   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           -3.45     -3.55                      
 35 10/22/2004 Home    L    69.82  34  35 2 3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                  4.85     -5.85                      
 36 10/29/2004 Away    L *  66.36  24  33   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                    1.39    -10.39                      
 37 09/02/2005 Away    W    71.24  34  28 1 4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         6.27     -0.27                      
 38 09/09/2005 Home    W    76.40  21  14   4A  13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston               11.43     -4.43                      
 39 09/16/2005 Away    W    64.78  16  13   4A  28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North       -0.19      3.19                      
 40 09/23/2005 Home    W    91.99  47   0   4A  39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           27.02     19.98                      
 41 09/30/2005 Away    W *  71.53  18   8   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City              6.56      3.44                      
 42 10/07/2005 Home    L *  52.40   0  38   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -12.58    -25.42                      
 43 10/14/2005 Home    W *  86.46  35  14   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           21.49     -0.49                      
 44 10/21/2005 Away    L    70.87  38  41 2 3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                  5.90     -8.90                      
 45 10/28/2005 Home    L *  37.31   8  43   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                  -27.66     -7.34                      
 46 11/02/2005 Away    L *  66.45  18  45   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley              1.48    -28.48                      
 47 09/01/2006 Away    L    54.36  14  48   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -10.61    -23.39                      
 48 09/08/2006 Away    L    57.44   0   6   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln             -7.53      1.53                      
 49 09/15/2006 Home    L    48.43   6  48   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -16.54    -25.46                      
 50 09/22/2006 Home    L    52.40   7  24   4A  13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston              -12.57     -4.43                      
 51 09/29/2006 Away    W *  74.77  14  13   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                  9.80     -8.80                      
 52 10/06/2006 Away    L *  67.52  23  24 1 4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown            2.55     -3.55                      
 53 10/13/2006 Home    L *  53.40  12  49   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -11.58    -25.42                      
 54 10/20/2006 Away    W *  78.53  29  12   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City             13.56      3.44                      
 55 10/27/2006 Home    L *  47.31   6  31   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                  -17.66     -7.34                      
 56 08/31/2007 Home    L    48.31   8  45   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -16.67    -20.33                      
 57 09/07/2007 Home    W    70.38  25  15   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln              5.41      4.59                      
 58 09/14/2007 Away    L    69.49   6  30   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling             4.52    -28.52                      
 59 09/21/2007 Away    L    37.45   6  41   4A  13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston              -27.52     -7.48                      
 60 09/28/2007 Home    L *  47.72   0  23   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                -17.26     -5.74                      
 61 10/05/2007 Home    L *  33.46  14  46   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown          -31.51     -0.49                      
 62 10/12/2007 Away    L *  62.45   0  31   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             -2.52    -28.48                      
 63 10/19/2007 Home    W *  63.48  18  13   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City             -1.49      6.49                      
 64 10/26/2007 Away    L *  67.36  15  23   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                    2.39    -10.39                      
 65 08/29/2008 Home    L    43.99  30  31   4A  39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson          -20.98     19.98  non-district        
 66 09/05/2008 Away    W    72.78  24   7   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    7.81      9.19  non-district        
 67 09/12/2008 Away    L *  44.36   0  31   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                  -20.61    -10.39                      
 68 09/19/2008 Away    L *  47.77  16  42   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                -17.20     -8.80                      
 69 09/26/2008 Home    L    57.82  21  34   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 -7.15     -5.85  non-district        
 70 10/03/2008 Away    W    70.44  34  27   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln              5.47      1.53  non-district        
 71 10/10/2008 Home    W *  86.48  41  13   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City             21.51      6.49                      
 72 10/17/2008 Away    L *  63.45   7  37   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             -1.52    -28.48                      
 73 10/24/2008 Home    W *  68.46  26  23   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown            3.49     -0.49                      
 74 10/29/2008 Neutral L    42.96   0  49   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -22.01    -26.99                      
 75 08/28/2009 Away    W    86.04  44   6   4A  39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           21.07     16.93  nc                  
 76 09/04/2009 Home    W    71.73  40  21   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    6.76     12.24  nc                  
 77 09/11/2009 Home    W *  89.31  34  17   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   24.34     -7.34                      
 78 09/18/2009 Home    L *  48.72  22  44   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                -16.26     -5.74                      
 79 09/25/2009 Away    W    76.87  23  20   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 11.90     -8.90  nc                  
 80 10/02/2009 Home    W    81.38  38  17   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln             16.41      4.59  nc                  
 81 10/09/2009 Away    W *  68.53  21  14   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City              3.56      3.44                      
 82 10/16/2009 Home    W * 104.40  24  10   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             39.42    -25.42                      
 83 10/23/2009 Away    L *  62.52  10  16   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           -2.45     -3.55                      
 84 10/28/2009 Home    L *  73.40  28  45   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley              8.42    -25.42                      
 85 08/27/2010 Home    W   107.19  54   9   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East        42.22      2.78  NC                  
 86 09/03/2010 Away    W    93.47  24   0   4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              28.50     -4.50  NC                  
 87 09/10/2010 Away    W    90.78  43  14   4A  28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North       25.81      3.19  NC                  
 88 09/17/2010 Away    L    54.49   3  42   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -10.48    -28.52  NC                  
 89 09/24/2010 Home    W *  74.31  30  28   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                    9.34     -7.34                      
 90 10/01/2010 Home    W *  92.48  41   7   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City             27.51      6.49                      
 91 10/08/2010 Away    W *  87.77  21   7   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                 22.80     -8.80                      
 92 10/15/2010 Home    W *  86.46  38  17   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           21.49     -0.49                      
 93 10/22/2010 Away    W *  96.45  15  12   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             31.48    -28.48                      
 94 10/27/2010 Home    L *  67.72   7  10   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                  2.74     -5.74                      
      Averages              65.09  20.6 24.1

Best game:  107.19 = 45 point win over Des Moines East
Worst game:  23.34 = 24 point loss to Sioux City West
Team stdev:  17.23